Our tracking data is a continuously updated aggregate of well-respected national polls.
The Democratic Primary Models track Clinton, Obama, Gore, and Edwards. The models attempt to project national popularity ahead of the Iowa caucus on January 14, 2008. DailyWrit’s full calendar of the 2008 Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions can be found here.
Our first Democratic model is a short-term graph that shows how the Democratic frontrunners have been performing since late February, 2007. Our newly added trendlines (which are nearly horizontal) show the lack of movement among the candidates. Both Clinton and Obama remain strong, but have not been able to improve on their ratings over the last four months. This model can be found below (click graph to enlarge via lightbox):
The second Democratic model is a long-term graph that shows how the same candidates have performed since early November of 2006. The trendlines show that Obama has been closing in on Clinton, but that she remains comfortably in the lead. This model can be found below (click graph to enlarge via lightbox):
If you are looking to save a copy of either graph or you are just curious about my data, the excel file DailyWrit uses for all of our Election 2008 Coverage can be found here as a .xls file: DailyWrit Polling Data (Updated July 5).
Suggestions? james@dailywrit.com OR kedar@dailywrit.com. You know. Whichever.