Kedar and I have been working semi-religiously on perfecting the 2008 Election Tracker (so much so that we both conspicuously missed Saturday’s debate (OOPS!)). Anyway, our spiffy new graphs are really, really neat and can be found below.

Democratic Primary Race (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Democratic Primary Race Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

^^^(NOTE: I re-keyed Gore as greeen in an (unsuccessful) atttempt to amuse myself)^^^

Republican Primary Race (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Republican Primary Race Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

Also, I’ve added a model that tracks the presumptive party frontrunners (Giuliani (R-NY) vs. Clinton (D-NY)) in a hypothetical national election. This General Election Model can be found below (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Giuliani vs. Clinton Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

Those of you who are curious can find my data here: DailyWrit Poll Aggregates (.xls file).

Continuing on a previous note, Rasmussen is ridiculous. I crosschecked my Giuliani v. Clinton data with similar data at RealClearPolitics and found that, after using many of the same polls, we had substantially different averages for Mlle. Clinton (D-NY). After playing with the numbers, I found that Clinton’s RCP average on RealClearPolitics (around 48%) becomes a full point higher (and then some!) if you remove Rasmussen polls and then recalculate. Freaking ridiculous.

In less maddening news, check out the sweet new About Page and/or DailyWrit’s Full Calendar of the 2008 Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions.


Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Categories

Random Posts

  • Average Age (1800-2010): I've posted a PDF of the Court's average age at the beginning of every term from 1800-present. The ages were taken on the first Monday in Oc...
  • Uninterrupted Distributions Count for OT10 Cases: Docket pages for each case at the Supreme Court list when a case is distributed for a given conference and, therefore, up for consideration....
  • Frequency of Consecutive Opinions Release Days: I've taken a look at the number of opinion days in a given week from OT06 to OT10. In other words, I've taken a look at the number of times ...
  • Final Term Index: Here is the final Term Index for October Term 2009. OT09_term_index_final
  • Four 8-1 Decisions in One Day: The Supreme Court released four opinions today, and each was 8-1. You can find all of the opinions here. CompuCredit v. Greenwood, a case...