Kedar and I have been working semi-religiously on perfecting the 2008 Election Tracker (so much so that we both conspicuously missed Saturday’s debate (OOPS!)). Anyway, our spiffy new graphs are really, really neat and can be found below.

Democratic Primary Race (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Democratic Primary Race Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

^^^(NOTE: I re-keyed Gore as greeen in an (unsuccessful) atttempt to amuse myself)^^^

Republican Primary Race (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Republican Primary Race Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

Also, I’ve added a model that tracks the presumptive party frontrunners (Giuliani (R-NY) vs. Clinton (D-NY)) in a hypothetical national election. This General Election Model can be found below (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Giuliani vs. Clinton Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

Those of you who are curious can find my data here: DailyWrit Poll Aggregates (.xls file).

Continuing on a previous note, Rasmussen is ridiculous. I crosschecked my Giuliani v. Clinton data with similar data at RealClearPolitics and found that, after using many of the same polls, we had substantially different averages for Mlle. Clinton (D-NY). After playing with the numbers, I found that Clinton’s RCP average on RealClearPolitics (around 48%) becomes a full point higher (and then some!) if you remove Rasmussen polls and then recalculate. Freaking ridiculous.

In less maddening news, check out the sweet new About Page and/or DailyWrit’s Full Calendar of the 2008 Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions.


Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Categories

Random Posts

  • Advocate Scorecard for OT00-Present: This weekend, I went through all the oral argument transcripts from OT00 through OTO8 and I counted how many times each of the major advocat...
  • Average Age (1800-2010): I've posted a PDF of the Court's average age at the beginning of every term from 1800-present. The ages were taken on the first Monday in Oc...
  • Updated Term Statistics: I've updated the term statistics and you can find the new versions of each chart below: Complete (includes all three charts) --- Term I...
  • January Hearing List Released: The Supreme Court has released the Hearing List for the January sitting and you can find it here. Several high-profile advocates are back...
  • Measuring Justice Sotomayor's Liberal Bona Fides: Justice Sotomayor has completed two years on the Supreme Court and, as she begins her third, it seems like an appropriate time to take an in...