Kedar and I have been working semi-religiously on perfecting the 2008 Election Tracker (so much so that we both conspicuously missed Saturday’s debate (OOPS!)). Anyway, our spiffy new graphs are really, really neat and can be found below.

Democratic Primary Race (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Democratic Primary Race Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

^^^(NOTE: I re-keyed Gore as greeen in an (unsuccessful) atttempt to amuse myself)^^^

Republican Primary Race (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Republican Primary Race Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

Also, I’ve added a model that tracks the presumptive party frontrunners (Giuliani (R-NY) vs. Clinton (D-NY)) in a hypothetical national election. This General Election Model can be found below (click the thumbnail to enlarge via lightbox):
Giuliani vs. Clinton Graph (Updated June 30) - By James

Those of you who are curious can find my data here: DailyWrit Poll Aggregates (.xls file).

Continuing on a previous note, Rasmussen is ridiculous. I crosschecked my Giuliani v. Clinton data with similar data at RealClearPolitics and found that, after using many of the same polls, we had substantially different averages for Mlle. Clinton (D-NY). After playing with the numbers, I found that Clinton’s RCP average on RealClearPolitics (around 48%) becomes a full point higher (and then some!) if you remove Rasmussen polls and then recalculate. Freaking ridiculous.

In less maddening news, check out the sweet new About Page and/or DailyWrit’s Full Calendar of the 2008 Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions.


Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Categories

Random Posts

  • Should the Supreme Court have Appointed Amici in the Healthcare Cases?: The Supreme Court's decision last week to appoint H. Bartow Farr and Robert Long to argue in the ACA cases follows in a long tradition of ap...
  • Westlaw Flag Colors for OT10 Cases: I've always thought it was funny that WestLaw handed out yellow flags like they were candy. I'm referring, of course, to "KeyCite Status Fla...
  • A Big Little Case: Next Wednesday, the Supreme Court will hear arguments in an interesting case about water law in Montana, PPL Montana v. Montana. The case wi...
  • Updated Term Statistics: I've updated the term statistics and you can find the new versions of each chart below: Complete (includes all three charts) --- Term I...
  • Traitors to the Cause: 6-3 decisions are, statistically speaking, the least common vote split. Frequently, those cases split along the ideological lines that are s...