Comments on: When Mitt Met Hillary http://dailywrit.com/2007/07/05/when-mitt-met-hillary/ Wed, 07 Jan 2009 05:01:43 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 By: James http://dailywrit.com/2007/07/05/when-mitt-met-hillary/comment-page-1/#comment-155 James Fri, 06 Jul 2007 17:50:41 +0000 http://dailywrit.com/2007/07/05/when-mitt-met-hillary/#comment-155 I've also seen numbers like that. However, the reason that the "wouldn't vote for x" crowd fails to worry either the RNC or the DNC is threefold: 1). People who "won't vote for Hillary" might still vote for the Democratic ticket if they are sufficiently swayed by the VP choice. An excellent example would be Obama energizing the African-American community, or Richardson with Hispanics or energy voters. 2). People who "won't vote for Hillary" also "won't vote for [insert RNC candidate]." That means that, even if they claimed they wouldnt vote for Clinton, they might be even less apt to vote for someone else. 3). These numbers are in part inclusive of voters who "do not have enough information to form an opinion." As the General grows closer, people will feel more informed. Then at least some of them might feel more comfortable voting Clinton. You're right on about Bloomberg, though. More to come on that. I’ve also seen numbers like that. However, the reason that the “wouldn’t vote for x” crowd fails to worry either the RNC or the DNC is threefold:

1). People who “won’t vote for Hillary” might still vote for the Democratic ticket if they are sufficiently swayed by the VP choice. An excellent example would be Obama energizing the African-American community, or Richardson with Hispanics or energy voters.

2). People who “won’t vote for Hillary” also “won’t vote for [insert RNC candidate].” That means that, even if they claimed they wouldnt vote for Clinton, they might be even less apt to vote for someone else.

3). These numbers are in part inclusive of voters who “do not have enough information to form an opinion.” As the General grows closer, people will feel more informed. Then at least some of them might feel more comfortable voting Clinton.

You’re right on about Bloomberg, though. More to come on that.

]]> By: Swint http://dailywrit.com/2007/07/05/when-mitt-met-hillary/comment-page-1/#comment-154 Swint Fri, 06 Jul 2007 17:37:53 +0000 http://dailywrit.com/2007/07/05/when-mitt-met-hillary/#comment-154 Some recent polling indicated that 52% of Americans would not vote for Hillary for President. I know that polling is suspect, but I recall a poll from, I believe, early last year that said something 48% of Americans would not vote for her. If these numbers are remotely true, she may have the most difficult time of any of the candidates from both parties to win the General. I think Hillary would be the worst choice for the Dems if they want to win in '08. However, if Giuliani is the GOP nominee and Bloomberg is in, I think the #'s above are meaningless and Clinton would run away with the election. http://www.dryflypolitics.com Some recent polling indicated that 52% of Americans would not vote for Hillary for President. I know that polling is suspect, but I recall a poll from, I believe, early last year that said something 48% of Americans would not vote for her. If these numbers are remotely true, she may have the most difficult time of any of the candidates from both parties to win the General. I think Hillary would be the worst choice for the Dems if they want to win in ‘08.

However, if Giuliani is the GOP nominee and Bloomberg is in, I think the #’s above are meaningless and Clinton would run away with the election.

http://www.dryflypolitics.com

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